Recent polls show Biden leading
October 8, 2020
The current polling averages show Democratic nominee Joseph R Biden Jr., leading in most states over President Trump.
According to The New York Times polling data, which is updated by state and national polls conducted by Universities, colleges and research programs, Biden shows a lead in almost every poll. While Trump has a significant lead in one and enjoys up to a six-point lead in two others, it’s not enough to overshadow Biden.
“Even the ‘good news’ for Mr. Trump is still quite bad” the article states, recognizing that at the time of reporting, 27 days remain until Election day, and 3 out of 25 polls conducted show Trump’s lead over Biden.
With 26 days until Election Day, plot-graphs show individual state’s change in support in order of the margin of victory in 2016 elections for each candidate while also considering polling misses, Texas is the only state that has remained in support for Trump.
According to the Boston Globe, recent polls from key states released Wednesday show Pennsylvania, Iowa, and Florida where Biden is leading Trump among likely voters, with Biden at 50 percent support.
Quinnipiac University poll found Biden leading Trump 54 percent to 41 percent in Pennsylvania.
In Iowa, Biden had 50 percent support while Trump was at 45 percent, and in Florida Biden led Trump 51 percent to 40 percent.
According to the Boston Globe, all three polls were conducted from Oct. 1 to Oct. 5 with among roughly 1,200 likely voters in each state participated.
On Oct. 2 Trump announced his test for COVID-19 was positive, so some voters who responded to the poll were not yet aware of it, according to the Boston Globe article.